12/20/2023 0 Comments Analogy craps table come betKinda like "don't believe everything you think." He's saying it in this way because logically "if you knew everything, you'd win every single trade and be ridiculously rich" So what Ray is doing here, is reminding Karen to be intellectually humble - in response to her asserting an opinion. One of the concepts for dealing with this is "believability weighting." ie: you may think we should do X, and I think we should do Y, but if out of the two of us, you're the one who's solved this problem - we weigh your opinion more. Whatever success I’ve had in life has had more to do with my knowing how to deal with my not knowing than anything I know.” “Before I begin telling you what I think, I want to establish that I’m a “dumb shit” who doesn’t know much relative to what I need to know. Ray's whole thing is intellectual humility: I can explain this as a former BW employee who knows the people involved.
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